Top 10 NFL future bets for the 2022-2023 season
10. AFC East division winner
The biggest change in the AFC East is Tyreke Hill becoming a Miami Dolphin to really boost the team’s wide receiver core and passing game. Tua Tagovailoa gets a top NFL target, but that still isn’t enough to put them over the top.
The Buffalo Bills won the division title last season but had their season come to a heartbreaking end in an OT thriller against the Kansas City Chiefs in the Divisional Round of the playoffs.
Led by quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills are the favorites to win the AFC East again this year and rightfully so. Allen’s favorite target, Stefon Diggs, is looking to have another big season after putting up over 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns a year ago.
The defense is nothing to smirk at either. In 2021, Buffalo’s defense allowed the fewest points per game in the regular season.
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9. Denver Broncos under 10.5 wins
Another major move in the NFL this offseason was Russell Wilson leaving the Seattle Seahawks and going from the NFC to the AFC join the Denver Broncos.
Wilson missed several games last year due to a hand injury but now is in Denver to throw to receivers like Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton.
With the offense clearly improved, there is still the concern about how strong the AFC West will be. The Chiefs, Raiders and Chargers round out the AFC West and all four teams have a strong roster. With Denver playing each team twice, I think it will be tough for them to put up at least an 11-6 record which is why I am looking at the season win total to go under.
Other difficult games on the schedule are home against the 49ers, away against the Ravens and away against the Titans.
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Ready to see this in the end zone this year ??@SuttonCourtland x @Melvingordon25 pic.twitter.com/qtCsrcJZRH
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) August 1, 2022
8. Cincinnati Bengals over 9.5 wins
Moving over to the AFC North, the Cincinnati Bengals lost in last year’s Super Bowl to the Los Angeles Rams but they had an impressive playoff run with such a young core.
The offensive leaders, Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd and Joe Mixon are all under 26 years old with the exception of Boyd who is 28.
As a rookie, Chase exploded for over 1,400 receiving yards and 13 touchdown receptions. He has quickly put his name into the category of serious threats through the air.
Mixon rushed for 1,205 yards on the ground and Burrow delivered passes for 4,611 yards and 34 touchdowns. One thing Burrow will look to improve on his lowering his interceptions from the 14 he tossed last season.
The big question for the Bengals will be can they protect Burrow. Last season, the team struggled to keep their franchise QB on his feet. However, even with that hindering the offense at times, they still found themselves playing for the title.
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7. Most receiving yards
Chase of the Bengals made his name known in his first season, but he wasn’t the only rookie WR to make a statement.
Justin Jefferson on the Minnesota Vikings finished the regular season with 1,616 yards receiving, good for second most in the NFL behind Rams’ Cooper Kupp.
In his debut season, Jefferson hit 140 yards in a game in three separate occasions. I’m sure Vikings QB Kirk Cousins was thrilled to see such am amazing talent added to the roster with already proven WR Adam Thielen.
Jefferson was the 22nd overall pick in the draft and I am guessing the teams that could have drafted him are kicking themselves after seeing what he is capable of in this league.
I think Jefferson will only continue to improve his game working with guys like Thielen and Cousins who have been around.
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.@JJettas2 gonna get it.
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) July 30, 2022
??: ?@nflnetwork | Back Together Saturday pic.twitter.com/IDrktKoOLg
6. Most passing touchdowns
The Los Angeles Chargers could be a very scary team to play against this year. Justin Herbert had an incredible sophomore season in the NFL tossing 38 touchdowns (third in NFL) and 5,014 passing yards (second in NFL).
Wide receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are the main targets outside the numbers and Austin Ekeler is another target for Herbert coming out of the backfield.
When his first or second option isn’t there, Herbert is an impressive athlete who can use his legs to extend plays for receivers to get open and make a play. He also has one of the stronger arms in the league, right up there with Josh Allen.
I only see a brighter future for this young QB who played his college days at Oregon. He is the co-favorite to win this category with Tom Brady of Tampa Bay at +700.
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5. NFC East division winner
Over the last few years, the NFC East has been looked at as one of the worst divisions in the NFL but this season could be different and have more competition.
The fight for the division this season looks to be a two-team fight between the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles.
The Eagles are led by young QB Jalen Hurts, who can get out and run for first downs, but can also beat you through the air. Dak Prescott, the QB for the Cowboys, may not run as often as Hurts but can use his legs to pick up a first down when he needs to.
The difference to me is the other offensive weapons on Dallas. Ezekiel Elliot and Tony Pollard are a dynamic duo in the RB position. Pollard is a much better pass catcher and Elliot is a tougher runner that can break tackles when not much seems to be there.
Move to the wideouts and you have the speedy CeeDee Lamb, who is turning into a major problem for defensive backs, and Michael Gallup who is working his way back from injury. The Cowboys did lose Amari Cooper which leaves a hole but Lamb has the potential to fill that with his playmaking ability with the ball in his hands.
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#FBF from year 1?? to year 7?? ?? #DallasCowboys @AmericanAir #CowboysCamp pic.twitter.com/lHDGBDV5L9
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) July 30, 2022
4. Most rushing yards
Derrick Henry of the Tennessee Titans averaged the most yards per game (117) last year but only played eight games because of an injury so he did not take the rushing yard title. That went to Indianapolis Colts’ Jonathan Taylor who eclipsed 1,800 yards. Taylor (+500) is the favorite to win followed by Henry (+550).
Matt Ryan who spent his entire career up to this point with the Atlanta Falcons is now the QB for the Colts but I would still predict a high portion of the offense being played around Taylor.
With the injury history for Derrick Henry, I have to fade him in this category in case he suffers an injury once again this season so I am backing the favorite.
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3. Las Vegas Raiders over 8.5 wins
He may not have had the most receiving yards last season, but many see Davante Adams as the most difficult player to cover. Adams is no longer with the Green Bay Packers and is now going to be catching passes from Derek Carr alongside Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller.
Renfrow broke 1,000 receiving yards and, as a tight end, Waller caught more than 600 yards through the air. Those are two very dependable passing options, but now you add a receiver who had 123 catches for 1,553 yards and 11 touchdowns to the arsenal.
This Raiders offense moved from solid to scary with three guys who can create separation and get open for their QB.
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*whispers* let's get it @tae15adams | #RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/Rh3sZ8xaz8
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) July 31, 2022
2. Most Valuable Player
Atop of the MVP list are names you would obviously expect like the favorite Josh Allen (+750), Patrick Mahomes (+850) and Tom Brady (+900). But out west is a guy we already talked about who is my choice to win this honor.
As a second-year player, Justin Herbert (+1000) finished last season in the top three in passing touchdowns and QBR and second in passing yards. Now with more experience and more chemistry with his receivers, I see those numbers only improving for Herbert and the Chargers.
If you drop back in coverage and give him too much time, he is able to get the first down on his own. Last year, Herbert picked up 28 first downs on the ground, second most on his team.
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1. Super Bowl winner
When I look to pick a Super Bowl winner, I don’t look to see who has the best player from last season, but I look to see who is the most well-rounded team. Coincidentally, that team happens to have the MVP favorite.
The Buffalo Bills were taken out of the playoffs last season in one of the wildest fourth quarters and OT in the Divisional Round against the Chiefs. Buffalo had Super Bowl aspirations and definitely were left with a sour taste in their mouth.
Josh Allen, the MVP favorite, is the leader of the Bills team and with a chip on their shoulder, I wouldn’t want to find them as my opponent come playoff time. When and if they get to the playoffs, I am sure last season’s loss to Kansas City will be on everyone’s mind in that locker room.
The team has also added a guy who has proven to be able to change how good defenses are. Von Miller will be coming off the edge on the defensive side of the ball for the Bills which adds to an already impressive defending team.
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Josh Allen is one of one. ?#BillsCamp | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/Q9uzMtyT4v
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) August 1, 2022