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Rahm the US Open favorite

10 Jun 2021

(PRESS RELEASE) -- Jon Rahm remains the consensus betting favorite to win the 2021 U.S. Open, even after his forced withdrawal from last week's Memorial Tournament. But with Rahm's status still uncertain ahead of Thursday's first round at Torrey Pines in La Jolla, California, oddsmakers' boards for the U.S. Open could still shift significantly, according to TheLines, which tracks odds in the U.S. regulated sports betting market.

A consensus of that nation's largest legal online sportsbooks — including DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM — place Rahm at +1200 to win the U.S. Open outright, meaning bettors would win $1,200 for every $100 wagered. At individual sportsbooks, Rahm, who has never won a major championship, is being offered with a range from +1000 at DraftKings to +1400 at BetMGM.

Past U.S. Open winners Dustin Johnson (+1250), Jordan Spieth (+1250), and Rory McIlroy (+1300) are the next in line as consensus favorites. While recently crowned PGA Championship winner Phil Mickelson, who needs to win the U.S. Open to complete a career grand slam, is being offered at +5000. Mickelson is still a dark horse, but his odds are starkly different from the +12500 odds he was being offered at before teeing off at the PGA Championship.

"With the favorite's status still uncertain, odds have the potential to shift more than what would be expected ahead of a major championship," said Brett Collson, betting analyst at TheLines.com. "This is a dynamic situation that bears watching even if he does play, because his preparation will no doubt be affected. That said, Mickelson's longshot win at the PGA Championship, and to a lesser extent Hideki Matsuyama's win at the Masters, shows that looking only at the top of the board can be a mistake for golf bettors."

Consensus odds for the 10 favorites ahead of this year's U.S. Open, as of Thursday, 10 June:
  • Jon Rahm (+1200)
  • Dustin Johnson (+1250)
  • Jordan Spieth (+1250)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1300)
  • Justin Thomas (+1400)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1400)
  • Brooks Koepka (+1400)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1800)
  • Colin Morikawa (+2700)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2700)
 
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