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Dan's NFL Week 2 DFS GPP picks

17 Sep 2015

By Dan Podheiser
In daily fantasy sports, the phrase "you win some, you lose some" won't get you very far in guaranteed prize pool (GPP) tournaments. In order to cash, you have to "win" on your drafted players a lot more than you "lose."

Last week, I didn't win often enough. Some of my picks were pretty good – Matt Forte had a monster game both on the ground and in the air against the Packers, as I predicted, while Chris Ivory got into the end zone twice against the Browns.

But too many of my other players bit the dust, from Dolphins quarterback Ryan Tannehill to Packers wide receiver Ty Montgomery, who caught exactly zero passes in his NFL debut. And don't even talk to me about the Buccaneers' defense.

It's a new week, though, and that means another chance to become a millionaire on either DraftKings or FanDuel. Without further ado, here are my GPP picks for Week 2.

For a full explanation of the differences between DraftKings and FanDuel scoring, read this blog post by Daily Fantasy Sports 101.

Quarterback: Sam Bradford, Philadelphia Eagles (DK: $6,900; FD: $7,500)

After a shaky first half last week in his Eagles debut, Bradford came out and torched the Atlanta Falcons in the second half, completing 21 of his 25 passes in the half for 219 yards and a touchdown. He finished the game with 336 yards and would have had a second touchdown had Philadelphia coach Chip Kelly challenged the spot of a Jordan Matthews catch ruled down at the goal line (the Eagles later scored on a rushing play).

This week against the Cowboys, expect the Eagles' passing attack to come out flying yet again. At 55.5 points, oddsmakers project this game to be the highest-scoring contest in Week 2, with the Eagles' projected team total at a league-high 30 points. Bradford proved he was competent last week, and at these low salaries and in his upcoming game conditions, he's an excellent play against the Cowboys.

Running Back (DK): Justin Forsett, Baltimore Ravens ($6,200)

Forsett struggled last week against the Denver Broncos, posting just 43 yards on 14 carries. But he was also targeted in the air a team-high seven times, catching four balls for 13 yards. And let's be honest – the Broncos' defense is downright fantastic, while Baltimore's Week 2 opponent, the Oakland Raiders, have one of the worst defenses in the league. Cincinnati Bengals tailback Jeremy Hill found the end zone twice last week against the Raiders, and I expect Forsett – in what should be a blowout win for the Ravens – to have a similar outcome this week.

Running Back (FD): Mark Ingram, New Orleans Saints ($8,000)

Ingram had a tough matchup last week against the stingy Arizona Cardinals defense, and his ground game suffered, rushing for just 24 yards on nine carries. But surprisingly, he was a feature in the passing game as he caught a team-high eight balls for 98 yards.

This week against lowly Tampa Bay, the Saints should have a field day in their home stadium. I expect this game to be a blowout, which means lots of clock-killing runs for Ingram late in the game. And if he continues to consistently catch passes from Drew Brees out of the backfield, Ingram is a monster play in Week 2.

Wide Receiver (DK): Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles ($7,100)

Other than letting a crucial fourth-quarter pass slip through his fingers and into the Falcons' hands for a game-ending interception last week, Matthews was impressive in his debut as the Eagles' No. 1 wide receiver. The 23-year-old caught a team-high 10 balls on 13 targets for 102 yards and, as previously mentioned, got into the end zone even though a touchdown was not awarded.

The Eagles-Cowboys game in Week 2 should be a high-scoring shootout, and it makes sense to stack Matthews with Bradford in your lineup. If Bradford goes off for a big game, it's likely Matthews will, too.

Wide Receiver (FD): Odell Beckham Jr. ($8,700)

Beckham did not fare particularly well in his season debut against the Cowboys, catching just five balls for 44 yards. But the second-year superstar has a tasty matchup in Week 2 against the Atlanta Falcons in the Giants' home opener. The Falcons were absolutely dismantled by the Eagles' passing attack in Week 1, and I think New York quarterback Eli Manning will get back on track against them this week. And we all know Beckham is Manning's favorite target.

Tight End: Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles (DK: $3,600; FD: $5,200)

Did I mention I like the Eagles' chances to score a lot this week? I like them so much that I'm willing to employ a triple stack, with Bradford, Matthews and Ertz.

Ertz caught just three passes last week for 46 yards, but he was targeted a whopping eight times, many of which came in the first half when Bradford's timing was just a bit off. Ertz is a dynamic athlete who helps stretch the Eagles' passing game both horizontally and down the middle of the field. He's clearly one of Bradford's favorite targets, and I think he'll see the ball a lot in Week 2.

Defense: Houston Texans (DK: $2,900; FD: $4,600)

The Texans' defense looked pretty crappy in Week 1 against the Chiefs, especially in the first half. But Houston has the best defensive line in the league, headlined by superhuman robot J.J. Watt.

In Week 2, the Texans hit the road to visit the Carolina Panthers, who beat the Jaguars in Week 1 but didn't exactly impress on the offensive side of the ball. Other than quarterback Cam Newton, Carolina's offense is a complete wasteland. Expect Watt and the Texans' pass rush to put a lot of pressure on Newton in what should be a sloppy, low-scoring game.
 
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